3 Reasons Pattern Trading Is Killing Your Account and The One Thing You Can Do To Stop It

What is pattern trading?

Pattern trading is taking a trade based on a single bar or bars on a chart.  The  open, high, low, and close of a bar or bars create a distinct pattern of price movement for that time on the chart.  Pattern Trading is the basis for most trading software and indicators but patterns themselves are not enough to form a winning trading method.  If they were, everyone that could recognize a simple chart pattern would be hugely successful. So, what is the missing piece of the puzzle that most traders fail to learn about and focus on? The answer is volume, and more specifically smart volume analysis. Smart Volume Analysis gives us the ability to see and profit from the hidden meaning within these patterns day in and day out with very little effort.

As an example, we’ll use one common pattern that when combined with volume becomes one of ours to prove why volume analysis is the missing element in your trading.  The pin bar is a very popular pattern to trade.  A pin bar typically signifies a reversal in the market. However, a pin bar by itself is fairly meaningless as they occur all over the chart. When they work, they’re certainly very powerful but trading these without any other meaningful verification will very quickly deplete a trading account.

Some people will say “but they do work most of the time”.  This is simply not true and a hard pill to swallow if you trade them.  You can find five times where this or any pattern for that matter “worked” and I can show you ten times where they failed.  So what’s missing? How do you, or anyone know if a pattern is worth trading? The answer is simple… Volume.

Volume is the only real-time analysis tool that will show you what is actually happening within the market at any given moment.

Just like trading patterns, volume too is not always enough as you will soon learn… To make it as a trader you need a comprehensive tool set capable of displaying signals and their meanings in a concise, easy to read way right on your chart.  You also need a guiding hand from someone who knows why traders and more importantly trades fail time and again, and how to avoid many common trading mistakes without having to get a degree in rocket science.

“Volume is the only real-time analysis tool that will show you what is really happening within the market at any given moment.”

Take a look at this example chart taken in real-time after a specific Smart Volume Analysis Signal. (Please open this chart in a new tab/window and follow along with the text below):

Pattern Trading Examples Pin-Bar-Signal-Failure-With-Warnings-2014-04-16_13h11_35

Please note that example #1 on the chart is a typical pin bar and that it is also a valid Smart Upthrust printed as a blue bar in our Smart Volume Analysis Trading Software.  This would normally be an excellent place to open a long position as it is a strength signal and one of the best of our so-called “catalyst” signals.  A catalyst signal is simply a Smart Volume Signal that typically precedes a very large movement in price.

How Does Volume Spread Analysis Help Better Identify Winning Trade Patterns?

If you saw this trading pattern and you normally trade pin bars you might have taken this trade.  If you only trade smart catalyst signals, you may also have taken this trade as well but notice point #2 on the example chart…  These are the various warnings that our software printed for this particular signal based on its location in the range and other factors.  Had you avoided this trade based on our Trade Advisor Warnings, you would have saved yourself from a loss of nearly 20 pips, possibly more as the bar had still not closed when the screenshot of the chart was taken.

Look at example #3 on the chart.  See the huge move?  This is a different story from example #1.  This is the same chart, same time-frame and the same signal as example #1 but with one key distinction…  There  were no Smart Volume Analysis warnings on this trade.  This trade ended up being a 100+ pip winning trade had you taken it.  This is the true power of smart volume  analysis and clearly shows how adept our advisor indicator is at keeping you away from potentially losing trades.

Standard VSA Didn’t Work Consistently.  You Need a Smarter VSA

Smart Volume Analysis shows very quickly and effortlessly which pattern trading setups are valid and what their profit targets are thanks to our proprietary EOM concept and chart indicator.  The software even warns you of potential dangers on the chart in the form of our Trade Advisor which you can see in the above examples. That said I would add that while your percentage of winning trades will no doubt be much higher once applying our concepts and methods, we recognized that certain patterns needed more scrutiny before a trade could be placed.

In  our own trading and development of Smart Volume Analysis, we found even though the win rate was very high for our valid signals, there were times that they wouldn’t work as well as expected. A pattern emerged and I wanted to identify and catalog these conditions so that I could avoid trades that would likely fail. Much of my initial research lead to our Dead Zone concept which improved our trading a bit on its own but that wasn’t enough.  We needed something more.

The Creation of the Volume Spread Analysis Trade Advisors Found Only In Smart Trader

I found certain signals in a certain spot would almost never work no matter how good the signal was. These observations became the basis for what I trained many clients to look out for in the free live rooms.  It is difficult to remember these guidelines when following multiple charts. Many signals had different guidelines and we needed a way to easily report these right on the chart and in real-time.  This is why our Trade Advisor Module was created. Every Smart Volume Analysis signal is analysed by Smart and the output is available instantaneously on your chart based on our observations for that particular pattern (See example #2) . If there are no warnings, the trade is considered safe and has a very high chance of working as expected and in hitting the EOM (Profit Target Levels).

As you would imagine, some warnings are stronger than others. Each warning and it’s meaning is detailed within the client documentation site.  Clients can familiarize themselves with them and begin applying these guidelines to improve your pattern trading in a very short time.

Learn More about Pattern Trading with Smart Volume Spread Analysis

For more information or if you have any questions about SMART Volume Analysis (SVA) and Smart Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) the methods, or our Software (Smart Trader) please visit the following link

Smart Trader VSA (Volume Spread Analysis) Software you can also visit our Live and Free VSA (Volume Spread Analysis) Chat, Trading Rooms, and our other free volume spread analysis resource sites (linked below) to learn more.
For information on our real-time, volume based trading alerts, Click here.
Good luck trading and see you in the chat (Links below).

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